Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 85.264483 95.247323 105.404637 116.482019 128.192468 140.175568 153.336154
2025-09-21 68.862330 83.213443 98.427208 115.631068 134.425710 154.226467 176.558005
2025-09-28 57.631855 74.172783 92.277604 113.306634 136.820102 162.087394 191.084668
2025-10-05 52.878649 71.564422 92.532834 117.381878 145.638594 176.429481 212.191755
2025-10-12 48.223854 68.479923 91.747568 119.828174 152.238254 187.983360 229.924098
2025-10-19 42.655819 63.778363 88.644052 119.214635 155.023376 194.982575 242.326067
2025-10-26 37.866083 59.602661 85.811493 118.602940 157.539820 201.453148 253.934380
2025-11-02 34.312034 56.674105 84.237018 119.265663 161.355994 209.259493 266.930608
2025-11-09 30.462457 53.049858 81.557693 118.383661 163.174717 214.620911 277.010231
2025-11-16 27.493248 50.357439 79.860109 118.540115 166.097289 221.160348 288.358493
2025-11-23 24.319052 47.127646 77.279366 117.437635 167.371131 225.663419 297.259649
2025-11-30 22.458730 45.605341 76.811011 118.893387 171.678322 233.689109 310.223477
2025-12-07 20.822994 44.317495 76.611965 120.687672 176.432558 242.308940 323.982525
2025-12-14 18.394188 41.645511 74.413563 119.812831 177.820789 246.866982 332.938906
2025-12-21 15.727100 38.351290 71.179351 117.441847 177.225623 248.948172 338.886218
2025-12-28 15.310729 38.632336 72.919479 121.600124 184.817277 260.914731 356.578435
2026-01-04 14.437818 38.082120 73.432447 124.095795 190.289344 270.301923 371.198080
2026-01-11 12.762632 36.018990 71.671188 123.469916 191.740531 274.753464 379.889942
2026-01-18 11.242133 34.068471 69.970548 122.845896 193.133386 279.089319 388.409289
2026-01-25 10.175406 32.831857 69.259776 123.521972 196.161732 285.409505 399.300784
2026-02-01 8.840805 30.936157 67.458719 122.622193 197.096085 289.107585 406.997296
2026-02-08 7.856081 29.607964 66.456391 122.781804 199.372431 294.442343 416.658873
2026-02-15 6.708807 27.787539 64.590920 121.657035 199.912842 297.579676 423.621567